2012年1月24日火曜日

ビルマのPromeで大敗


前回のエントリーで昭和17年3月10日にビルマのPromeを占領したことに触れました。ところが、13日にはインド国境から進軍して来た18th British Divisionに惨敗を喫し、陥落してしまいました。これだけなら、いくらでもありそうな話です。それをここに取り上げることにしたのは、地上戦の様子があまりにも一方的で驚いたからです。
3月10日の戦闘は渡河による強制的なshock attackとなりました。その疲れをいやすため、56連隊はそのままPromeで休養していました。3月13日の戦闘前のdisruption 14, fatigue 26と戦闘の影響はみられましたが、experience 87, morale 98と練度と士気の高い部隊で、戦力的にもTOEの95/99と充実しているので素のAVが118ありました。Promeには滑走路のダメージがあり、そちらの修繕が先行する仕様ですから、fortificationの構築はまだ始めることができていません。
開戦時、 18th British Divisionは18th British Divisionとしてではなく、構成する旅団に分かれたかたちでケープタウンにいる輸送船団に搭乗しています。輸送船団の行く先は史実と同様にシンガポールと設定されていますが、このゲームではインドのどこかに上陸したのでしょう。その後、鉄道でチッタゴンに移動し、そこから海岸線の道路をたどってビルマにやって来たものと想像します。
数ターン前から一個師団相当の部隊がPromeに向けて行軍していることは察知していました。しかし、モンスーン季ではないとはいえ、インドを越えてビルマへのサプライの補給が潤沢なはずがありません。ビルマで殲滅することのできる部隊が増えて好都合だくらいに楽観的にみていたのです。
3月13日の18th British DivisionのPromeへの進入は渡河なので、強制的にshock attackとなりました。コンバットリポートによると、修正前のAVは56連隊が112、18th British Divisionが445と、連隊対師団という戦力差を考えれば順当な値です。ところが、驚いたことに修正後のAVは6と606になり、assault oddsは1対101で惨敗。戦力もTOEの95/99だったのが35/75まで減少。35の大部分はsupportが占めていて、直接の戦力である歩兵分隊は4分隊、機関銃分隊が1分隊と全滅以上の惨状となりました。
表示されたmodifierは英軍にshock(+)とleaders(+)、日本側にleaders(+)とdisruption(-)とpreparation(-)。ビルマ内を転戦するので、こんな小さな町にprepしてないのはやむを得ないところですよね。disruption 14がすごく効いたということなんでしょうか。またPromeの地形はcultivatedです。cultiveatedのdefence valueがマニュアルに見当たらないのですが、移動に関してはclearと同様に扱われると書かれているので、defence valueもclear terrainと同じくx1(一倍)、つまり防御に地形効果なしなのでしょう。まとめると、多少のdisruptionでも平地で防御施設がない状況で戦うと、劣勢な側は想像を超える大敗を喫してしまうことがあるということなのでしょうね。




今日はインド西岸のTrivandrum近海でI-158がTK Fenrisを雷撃。沈没の報告はないのですが、アニメーションの後に沈没音がきこえたので撃沈は確実。大きなタンカーを沈めたことで気を取り直し、プレイを続けることにしました。


AFTER ACTION REPORTS FOR Mar 13, 42
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Submarine attack near Trivandrum  at 27,44

Japanese Ships
      SS I-158

Allied Ships
      TK Fenris, Torpedo hits 1,  heavy fires,  heavy damage



TK Fenris is sighted by SS I-158
SS I-158 launches 4 torpedoes at TK Fenris


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ASW attack near Donggala  at 68,97

Japanese Ships
      TB Kasasagi
      TB Hayabusa

Allied Ships
      SS O23



SS O23 is located by TB Kasasagi
TB Hayabusa fails to find sub, continues to search...
TB Hayabusa fails to find sub, continues to search...
TB Hayabusa fails to find sub, continues to search...
TB Hayabusa fails to find sub, continues to search...
TB Hayabusa fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub


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ASW attack near Kochi  at 105,61

Japanese Ships
      DD Makigumo

Allied Ships
      SS Spearfish



SS Spearfish is sighted by escort
Spearfish diving deep ....
DD Makigumo fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Makigumo fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Makigumo fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Makigumo fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Makigumo fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub


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ASW attack near Muntok  at 49,89

Japanese Ships
      PB Sensan Maru

Allied Ships
      SS S-39



SS S-39 is sighted by escort
PB Sensan Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Sensan Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Sensan Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Sensan Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Sensan Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub


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ASW attack near Muntok  at 49,89

Japanese Ships
      PB Muroran Maru

Allied Ships
      SS S-39



Captain of SS S-39 elects not to launch torpedoes at this target
S-39 bottoming out ....
PB Muroran Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Muroran Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Muroran Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Muroran Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Muroran Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub


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Morning Air attack on 2nd Recce Battalion, at 76,124 (Darwin)

Weather in hex: Light rain

Raid detected at 65 NM, estimated altitude 8,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 22 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      A6M2 Zero x 18
      G4M1 Betty x 30
      Ki-43-Ic Oscar x 19



No Japanese losses


Allied ground losses:
      45 casualties reported
         Squads: 0 destroyed, 4 disabled
         Non Combat: 2 destroyed, 8 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
      Guns lost 2 (1 destroyed, 1 disabled)
      Vehicles lost 16 (4 destroyed, 12 disabled)


Aircraft Attacking:
      14 x G4M1 Betty bombing from 6000 feet
               Ground Attack:  2 x 250 kg GP Bomb,  4 x 60 kg GP Bomb
      16 x G4M1 Betty bombing from 6000 feet
               Ground Attack:  2 x 250 kg GP Bomb,  4 x 60 kg GP Bomb

Also attacking 19th Australian Battalion ...
Also attacking A/B Battery Heavy Coastal Artillery Regiment ...
Also attacking Sparrow Battalion ...
Also attacking 2nd Recce Battalion ...


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Morning Air attack on Changsha , at 82,52 

Weather in hex: Overcast

Raid spotted at 38 NM, estimated altitude 8,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 12 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-21-Ic Sally x 42
      Ki-21-IIa Sally x 67
      Ki-43-Ib Oscar x 11
      Ki-43-Ic Oscar x 9
      Ki-48-Ib Lily x 7



Allied aircraft
      H81-A3 x 1


Japanese aircraft losses
      Ki-21-Ic Sally: 8 damaged
      Ki-21-IIa Sally: 6 damaged
      Ki-48-Ib Lily: 1 damaged

Allied aircraft losses
      SB-III: 1 destroyed on ground


Allied ground losses:
      8 casualties reported
         Squads: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled


Airbase hits 37
Airbase supply hits 8
Runway hits 31

Aircraft Attacking:
      14 x Ki-21-Ic Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
      17 x Ki-21-IIa Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
      14 x Ki-21-Ic Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
      14 x Ki-21-Ic Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
      23 x Ki-21-IIa Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
      20 x Ki-21-IIa Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
       7 x Ki-21-IIa Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
       7 x Ki-48-Ib Lily bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 100 kg GP Bomb

CAP engaged:
5th FG/27th FS CAF with H81-A3 (1 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
      1 plane(s) intercepting now.
      Group patrol altitude is 20000 
      Raid is overhead



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Morning Air attack on Darwin , at 76,124 

Weather in hex: Light rain

Raid detected at 77 NM, estimated altitude 10,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 22 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-21-IIa Sally x 17



No Japanese losses


Allied ground losses:
      14 casualties reported
         Squads: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 4 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled


Runway hits 5

Aircraft Attacking:
      17 x Ki-21-IIa Sally bombing from 6000 feet * 
               Airfield Attack:  2 x 250 kg GP Bomb

Also attacking 19th Australian Battalion ...
Also attacking Darwin  ...
Also attacking 19th Australian Battalion ...
Also attacking Darwin  ...


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Morning Air attack on 90th Chinese Corps, at 85,45 (Nanyang)

Weather in hex: Light rain

Raid spotted at 14 NM, estimated altitude 8,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 4 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-30 Ann x 7



Japanese aircraft losses
      Ki-30 Ann: 1 damaged


Allied ground losses:
      8 casualties reported
         Squads: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled


Aircraft Attacking:
       7 x Ki-30 Ann bombing from 6000 feet
               Ground Attack:  1 x 250 kg GP Bomb

Also attacking 92nd Chinese Corps ...


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Morning Air attack on 84th Chinese Corps, at 91,49 , near Hwaiyin

Weather in hex: Light rain

Raid spotted at 9 NM, estimated altitude 10,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 2 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-30 Ann x 14



No Japanese losses


Allied ground losses:
      18 casualties reported
         Squads: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 5 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled


Aircraft Attacking:
      14 x Ki-30 Ann bombing from 6000 feet
               Ground Attack:  1 x 250 kg GP Bomb

Also attacking 21st Group Army ...
Also attacking 84th Chinese Corps ...


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Morning Air attack on 70th Chinese Corps, at 79,55 , near Hengyang

Weather in hex: Severe storms

Raid spotted at 20 NM, estimated altitude 6,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 6 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-48-Ib Lily x 16



No Japanese losses


Allied ground losses:
      23 casualties reported
         Squads: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 3 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled


Aircraft Attacking:
      16 x Ki-48-Ib Lily bombing from 6000 feet
               Ground Attack:  4 x 100 kg GP Bomb

Also attacking 86th Chinese Corps ...
Also attacking 70th Chinese Corps ...


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Morning Air attack on 108th RAF Base Force, at 54,52 (Bassein)

Weather in hex: Partial cloud

Raid spotted at 13 NM, estimated altitude 12,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 3 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-21-IIa Sally x 31
      Ki-43-Ic Oscar x 27



Allied aircraft
      Hurricane IIb Trop x 1


Japanese aircraft losses
      Ki-21-IIa Sally: 6 damaged
      Ki-43-Ic Oscar: 1 destroyed

No Allied losses


Allied ground losses:
      104 casualties reported
         Squads: 0 destroyed, 6 disabled
         Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 33 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled


Aircraft Attacking:
      14 x Ki-21-IIa Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Ground Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
      17 x Ki-21-IIa Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Ground Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb

CAP engaged:
No.242 Sqn RAF with Hurricane IIb Trop (1 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
      (1 plane(s) diverted to support CAP in hex.)
      1 plane(s) intercepting now.
      Group patrol altitude is 20000 
      Raid is overhead

Also attacking 102nd RAF Base Force ...
Also attacking 104th RAF Base Force ...
Also attacking 108th RAF Base Force ...
Also attacking 102nd RAF Base Force ...
Also attacking 108th RAF Base Force ...
Also attacking 102nd RAF Base Force ...


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Morning Air attack on 146th Infantry Regiment, at 54,104 (Madioen)

Weather in hex: Severe storms

Raid spotted at 18 NM, estimated altitude 4,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 6 minutes


Allied aircraft
      139WH-3 x 3


No Allied losses



Aircraft Attacking:
       3 x 139WH-3 bombing from 4000 feet * 
               Ground Attack:  2 x 300 kg GP Bomb



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Morning Air attack on 144th Infantry Regiment, at 97,129 , near Port Moresby

Weather in hex: Severe storms

Raid spotted at 8 NM, estimated altitude 12,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 2 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      A6M2 Zero x 2



Allied aircraft
      Hudson III (LR) x 2


No Japanese losses

Allied aircraft losses
      Hudson III (LR): 2 damaged



Aircraft Attacking:
       2 x Hudson III (LR) bombing from 6000 feet * 
               Ground Attack:  2 x 250 lb GP Bomb

CAP engaged:
Chitose Ku S-1 with A6M2 Zero (2 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
      (2 plane(s) diverted to support CAP in hex.)
      2 plane(s) intercepting now.
      Group patrol altitude is 10000 
      Raid is overhead



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Morning Air attack on 56th Infantry Regiment, at 55,50 (Prome)

Weather in hex: Moderate rain

Raid spotted at 20 NM, estimated altitude 4,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 6 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-43-Ic Oscar x 2



Allied aircraft
      Blenheim IV x 12
      Hudson IIIa x 12


No Japanese losses

Allied aircraft losses
      Blenheim IV: 2 damaged
      Hudson IIIa: 1 destroyed, 2 damaged

Japanese ground losses:
      81 casualties reported
         Squads: 0 destroyed, 9 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 6 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled



Aircraft Attacking:
       4 x Blenheim IV bombing from 2000 feet
               Ground Attack:  4 x 250 lb GP Bomb
       8 x Blenheim IV bombing from 2000 feet
               Ground Attack:  4 x 250 lb GP Bomb
      11 x Hudson IIIa bombing from 2000 feet
               Ground Attack:  4 x 250 lb GP Bomb

CAP engaged:
1st Sentai with Ki-43-Ic Oscar (2 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
      (2 plane(s) diverted to support CAP in hex.)
      2 plane(s) intercepting now.
      Group patrol altitude is 9000 
      Raid is overhead



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Morning Air attack on 42nd Infantry Regiment, at 46,76 (Medan)

Weather in hex: Clear sky

Raid spotted at 15 NM, estimated altitude 8,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 6 minutes


Allied aircraft
      Wirraway x 3


No Allied losses



Aircraft Attacking:
       3 x Wirraway bombing from 6000 feet
               Ground Attack:  2 x 100 lb GP Bomb



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Ground combat at Nanyang (85,45)

Japanese Bombardment attack

Attacking force 57288 troops, 515 guns, 143 vehicles, Assault Value = 2053

Defending force 213282 troops, 1129 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 6611

Japanese ground losses:
      14 casualties reported
         Squads: 0 destroyed, 2 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled


Allied ground losses:
      29 casualties reported
         Squads: 2 destroyed, 2 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled


Assaulting units:
    13th Ind.Mixed Brigade
    110th Division
    37th Division
    35th Division
    32nd Division
    6th Medium Field Artillery Regiment
    12th Army
    11th Field Artillery Regiment

Defending units:
    80th Chinese Corps
    82nd Chinese Corps
    47th Chinese Corps
    4th Chinese Cavalry Corps
    57th Chinese Corps
    41st Chinese Corps
    96th Chinese Corps
    11th Chinese Corps
    90th Chinese Corps
    42nd Chinese Corps
    5th New Chinese Corps
    17th Chinese Corps
    3rd Chinese Corps
    33rd Chinese Corps
    81st Chinese Corps
    19th Chinese Corps
    9th Chinese Corps
    43rd Chinese Corps
    76th Chinese Corps
    77th Chinese Corps
    27th Chinese Corps
    61st Chinese Corps
    92nd Chinese Corps
    30th Chinese Corps
    115th Red Chinese Division
    16th Chinese Corps
    36th Chinese Corps
    34th Separate Brigade
    120th Red Chinese Division
    55th Chinese Corps
    23rd Chinese Corps
    1st Chinese Corps
    93rd Chinese Corps
    4th Construction Regiment
    15th Group Army
    8th Group Army
    2nd Group Army
    4th Group Army
    7th Group Army
    18th Group Army
    Red Chinese Army
    34th Group Army
    22nd Group Army
    6th Group Army
    14th Group Army
    5th War Area 
    19th Chinese Base Force


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Ground combat at 91,49 (near Hwaiyin)

Japanese Deliberate attack

Attacking force 225 troops, 0 guns, 32 vehicles, Assault Value = 18

Defending force 2381 troops, 38 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 24

Japanese adjusted assault: 14 

Allied adjusted defense: 52 

Japanese assault odds: 1 to 3 

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), morale(-), experience(-)
Attacker: leaders(+)

Japanese ground losses:
      Vehicles lost 5 (1 destroyed, 4 disabled)


Allied ground losses:
      53 casualties reported
         Squads: 1 destroyed, 1 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 3 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled


Assaulting units:
    5th Armored Car Co 

Defending units:
    48th Chinese Corps
    84th Chinese Corps
    21st Group Army
    7th Chinese Corps


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Ground combat at Rangoon (54,53)

Japanese Bombardment attack

Attacking force 16128 troops, 355 guns, 165 vehicles, Assault Value = 1269

Defending force 40516 troops, 341 guns, 631 vehicles, Assault Value = 1371


Allied ground losses:
      74 casualties reported
         Squads: 3 destroyed, 9 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled


Assaulting units:
    10th Garrison Unit 
    55th Engineer Regiment
    20th Division
    113th Infantry Regiment
    55th Infantry Regiment
    2nd Division
    3rd Ind. Mountain Gun Regiment
    55th Mountain Gun Regiment
    1st RF Gun Battalion
    5th RF Gun Battalion
    2nd RF Gun Battalion
    1st JAAF Base Force
    4th Ind. Engineer Regiment
    20th Ind. Engineer Regiment
    17th Medium Field Artillery Regiment
    36th Field AA Battalion
    21st Medium Field Artillery Battalion
    15th Army
    5th Field Artillery Regiment
    8th JNAF AF Unit 
    43rd Const Co 
    1st Hvy.Artillery Regiment
    15th Ind. Engineer Regiment
    6th Field AF Construction Battalion
    23rd Ind. Engineer Regiment
    9th Base Force
    97th JAAF AF Bn 

Defending units:
    44th Indian Brigade
    45th Indian Brigade
    1st Burma Division
    16th Indian Brigade
    7th Hussars Regiment
    6th Australian Division
    46th Indian Brigade
    48th Gurkha Brigade
    Burma Corps 
    1st Burma Auxiliary AA Regiment
    4th Burma Rifles Battalion


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Ground combat at Medan (46,76)

Japanese Deliberate attack

Attacking force 6439 troops, 71 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 159

Defending force 4677 troops, 25 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 128

Japanese adjusted assault: 67 

Allied adjusted defense: 84 

Japanese assault odds: 1 to 2 (fort level 0) 

Combat modifiers
Defender: leaders(+), experience(-)
Attacker: 

Japanese ground losses:
      299 casualties reported
         Squads: 1 destroyed, 13 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 6 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled


Allied ground losses:
      373 casualties reported
         Squads: 12 destroyed, 17 disabled
         Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 4 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled


Assaulting units:
    11th Infantry Regiment
    42nd Infantry Regiment
    24th Nav Gsn Unit 

Defending units:
    Korps Marechausee Battalion
    Van Aaran Garrison Battalion
    Sabang Garrison Battalion
    Medan Garrison Battalion
    Medan Coastal Gun Battalion
    2nd Garrison Battalion
    Langsa Base Force
    Sabang Base Force
    Medan Base Force


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Ground combat at Kalidjati (50,99)

Japanese Deliberate attack

Attacking force 660 troops, 0 guns, 99 vehicles, Assault Value = 56

Defending force 618 troops, 4 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 1

Japanese adjusted assault: 25 

Allied adjusted defense: 3 

Japanese assault odds: 8 to 1 (fort level 1) 

Japanese forces CAPTURE Kalidjati !!!

Allied aircraft
      no flights

Allied aircraft losses
      FK-51: 5 destroyed

Combat modifiers
Defender: leaders(-), fatigue(-), morale(-), experience(-)
Attacker: leaders(-)


Allied ground losses:
      314 casualties reported
         Squads: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
         Non Combat: 12 destroyed, 0 disabled
         Engineers: 8 destroyed, 1 disabled
      Units retreated 1


Assaulting units:
    2nd Tank Regiment

Defending units:
    Kalidjati Base Force


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Ground combat at Medan (46,76)

Allied Bombardment attack

Attacking force 192 troops, 6 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 96

Defending force 6185 troops, 71 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 134



Assaulting units:
    Korps Marechausee Battalion
    Medan Garrison Battalion
    Sabang Garrison Battalion
    Medan Coastal Gun Battalion
    2nd Garrison Battalion
    Sabang Base Force
    Van Aaran Garrison Battalion
    Langsa Base Force
    Medan Base Force

Defending units:
    11th Infantry Regiment
    42nd Infantry Regiment
    24th Nav Gsn Unit 


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Ground combat at Prome (55,50)

Allied Shock attack

Attacking force 9814 troops, 128 guns, 33 vehicles, Assault Value = 445

Defending force 3621 troops, 38 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 112

Allied adjusted assault: 606 

Japanese adjusted defense: 6 

Allied assault odds: 101 to 1 (fort level 0) 

Allied forces CAPTURE Prome !!!

Combat modifiers
Defender: leaders(+), disruption(-), preparation(-)
Attacker: shock(+), leaders(+)

Japanese ground losses:
      943 casualties reported
         Squads: 53 destroyed, 65 disabled
         Non Combat: 36 destroyed, 13 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
      Guns lost 28 (23 destroyed, 5 disabled)
      Units retreated 1


Allied ground losses:
      223 casualties reported
         Squads: 1 destroyed, 28 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 2 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 4 disabled


Defeated Japanese Units Retreating!

Assaulting units:
    18th British Division

Defending units:
    56th Infantry Regiment



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