2012年11月15日木曜日

柳州会戦再開苦戦


昭和17年12月13日、ウエーク島とビルマではやはり大きな動きはありません。前日と同じく、機動部隊とRoi-Namurとクエゼリンの部隊にウエーク島空襲を指示してあるのですが、やはり飛んでくれません。空襲できないとウエーク島の連合軍地上部隊のdisruptionが回復していってしまいます。ウエーク島の飛行場の被害は大きく、まだCAPが飛べるとは思えないのですが、Roi-Namurの陸攻が飛んでくれないのは、護衛戦闘機が(距離的に)つけない攻撃だからなんでしょうか。このへん、みていてじれったい。

ウエーク島に上陸した特別陸戦隊のdisruptitonが0になり、fatigueもほぼ回復(敵と対峙しているので3以下にはならない模様)ので、今日はもう一度shock attackを指示してみました。これで占領できなければ、あさってには増援部隊が上陸する予定です。ところでウエーク島周辺にはいまのところ連合軍の潜水艦はいますが、水上艦は発見されていません。でも、占領に時間がかかっていて増援が送り込まれる可能性があることを連合軍側も承知していると思います。日本側の哨戒が手薄なウエーク島北東沖に軽巡・駆逐艦数隻のTFをパトロールさせておいて、SIGINTや潜水艦の目撃情報で日本側のコンボイがウエーク島にやってきそうな日に、ウエーク島水域に突っ込ませるようなことをしてこないか心配です。陸兵を乗せたままの輸送船が夜襲で撃沈されたりなんかしませんように。

中国戦線の柳州では、こちらの希望的観測を裏切って、中国軍の攻撃が再開されました。昨日のエントリーでは増援が送られてこなければ大丈夫だろうと書いたのですが、それは甘過ぎました。攻撃に参加している部隊の顔ぶれは12月10日とまったく一緒ですが、中国側の修正AVは10日が100しかなかったのに今日は839と8倍以上に増えていました。それに対して日本側の修正AVは10日が689で今日は531と減少しています。今日のところはオッズ比1対1で防衛できましたが、破壊されるdevice数で日本側が上回る状況は続いています。私が中国側をもっていれば、もう2日間休養をとらせてその後でshock attackを指示して一気に日本鬼子を追い出すところ。やはりここはだめな感じです。マニュアル8.4.2.1 GROUND COMBAT SEQUENCEには
火力の応酬の実際の効果は、兵器の火力、部隊の指揮官、部隊のdisruption、部隊のfatigue、部隊のサプライの充足状況、部隊のOp Mode、当該部隊がその戦闘ですでに何回発砲したか、地形に影響される
とあります。 2日間休養をとって、中国側と同じようにdisruptionやfatigueは多少なりとも減っているわけですから、この日本側のAVの減少の主な原因はサプライ不足なのだろうと思います。Killing off a surrounded but superior Army... (no tk208 plz)というスレによると修正AVの算出に対するサプライの影響は
  • サプライが100%充足されている部隊の素のAVを1倍とすると
  • サプライが75%しか充足されていない部隊の素のAVは0.8倍される
  • サプライが50%しか充足されていない部隊の素のAVは0.6倍される
  • サプライが25%しか充足されていない部隊の素のAVは0.4倍される
  • サプライがゼロになった部隊の素のAVは0.25倍される
なのだそうです。




AFTER ACTION REPORTS FOR Dec 13, 42
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ASW attack near Saipan  at 110,94

Japanese Ships
      DD Umikaze
      DD Suzukaze

Allied Ships
      SS Triton

SS Triton is located by DD Umikaze
Triton diving deep ....
DD Suzukaze fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Suzukaze fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Suzukaze fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Suzukaze fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Suzukaze fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub


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Sub attack near Wake Island  at 132,98

Japanese Ships
      DD Kawakaze
      BB Hyuga
      DD Samidare
      DD Yamakaze

Allied Ships
      SS Pogy, hits 1

SS Pogy launches 4 torpedoes at DD Kawakaze
Pogy diving deep ....
DD Kawakaze fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Yamakaze fails to find sub and abandons search
DD Kawakaze attacking submerged sub ....
DD Kawakaze attacking submerged sub ....
DD Kawakaze fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Kawakaze fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub


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ASW attack near Aogashima  at 114,66

Japanese Ships
      E Sado
      E Matsuwa

Allied Ships
      SS Drum

SS Drum is located by E Sado
E Matsuwa fails to find sub, continues to search...
E Matsuwa fails to find sub, continues to search...
E Matsuwa fails to find sub, continues to search...
E Matsuwa fails to find sub, continues to search...
E Matsuwa fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub


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Morning Air attack on Changsha , at 82,52 

Weather in hex: Overcast

Raid spotted at 39 NM, estimated altitude 8,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 12 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-21-IIa Sally x 10
      Ki-43-IIa Oscar x 24
      Ki-49-IIa Helen x 25

Japanese aircraft losses
      Ki-21-IIa Sally: 1 destroyed by flak
      Ki-49-IIa Helen: 2 damaged

Allied ground losses:
      18 casualties reported
         Squads: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled

Airbase hits 10
Airbase supply hits 2
Runway hits 34

Aircraft Attacking:
      17 x Ki-49-IIa Helen bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
       3 x Ki-21-IIa Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
       4 x Ki-21-IIa Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
       3 x Ki-21-IIa Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
       3 x Ki-49-IIa Helen bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
       5 x Ki-49-IIa Helen bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb



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Morning Air attack on Changsha , at 82,52 

Weather in hex: Overcast

Raid spotted at 24 NM, estimated altitude 8,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 6 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-21-IIa Sally x 15

No Japanese losses

Runway hits 7

Aircraft Attacking:
      15 x Ki-21-IIa Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb



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Morning Air attack on Liuchow , at 74,55 

Weather in hex: Severe storms

Raid spotted at 40 NM, estimated altitude 8,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 12 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-21-IIa Sally x 27
      Ki-43-Ic Oscar x 17
      Ki-49-IIa Helen x 20

Japanese aircraft losses
      Ki-21-IIa Sally: 1 damaged
      Ki-49-IIa Helen: 1 damaged

Allied ground losses:
      136 casualties reported
         Squads: 0 destroyed, 6 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 12 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled

Airbase hits 3
Airbase supply hits 1
Runway hits 1

Aircraft Attacking:
      17 x Ki-49-IIa Helen bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
      23 x Ki-21-IIa Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Ground Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
       3 x Ki-49-IIa Helen bombing from 6000 feet
               Ground Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
       4 x Ki-21-IIa Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Ground Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb

Also attacking 30th Chinese Corps ...
Also attacking 26th Chinese Corps ...
Also attacking 56th Chinese Corps ...
Also attacking Liuchow  ...
Also attacking 11th Chinese Corps ...
Also attacking Liuchow  ...
Also attacking 60th Chinese Corps ...
Also attacking 13th Chinese Corps ...
Also attacking Liuchow  ...
Also attacking 54th Chinese Corps ...
Also attacking 62nd Chinese Corps ...
Also attacking Liuchow  ...
Also attacking 2nd Prov Chinese Corps ...


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Morning Air attack on Liuchow , at 74,55 

Weather in hex: Severe storms

Raid spotted at 20 NM, estimated altitude 8,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 6 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-49-IIa Helen x 12

No Japanese losses

Allied ground losses:
      70 casualties reported
         Squads: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 10 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled

Aircraft Attacking:
      12 x Ki-49-IIa Helen bombing from 6000 feet
               Ground Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb

Also attacking 46th Chinese Corps ...
Also attacking 71st Chinese Corps ...
Also attacking 4th Chinese Corps ...
Also attacking 14th Chinese Corps ...


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Morning Air attack on Liuchow , at 74,55 

Weather in hex: Severe storms

Raid spotted at 25 NM, estimated altitude 10,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 7 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-21-IIa Sally x 16

Japanese aircraft losses
      Ki-21-IIa Sally: 1 damaged

Allied ground losses:
      28 casualties reported
         Squads: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
         Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 8 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled

Aircraft Attacking:
      16 x Ki-21-IIa Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Ground Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb

Also attacking 27th Chinese Corps ...
Also attacking 32nd Group Army ...
Also attacking 3rd Prov Chinese Corps ...
Also attacking 79th Chinese Corps ...
Also attacking 1st Group Army ...


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Morning Air attack on Akyab , at 54,45 

Weather in hex: Partial cloud

Raid detected at 26 NM, estimated altitude 32,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 6 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-44-IIa Tojo x 3

No Japanese losses

Aircraft Attacking:
       3 x Ki-44-IIa Tojo sweeping at 30000 feet



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Morning Air attack on Changsha , at 82,52 

Weather in hex: Overcast

Raid spotted at 38 NM, estimated altitude 11,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 11 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-21-IIa Sally x 16
      Ki-49-IIa Helen x 33

Japanese aircraft losses
      Ki-21-IIa Sally: 2 damaged
      Ki-49-IIa Helen: 1 damaged

Airbase hits 10
Runway hits 21

Aircraft Attacking:
      14 x Ki-49-IIa Helen bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
      19 x Ki-49-IIa Helen bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
      16 x Ki-21-IIa Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb



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Morning Air attack on Changsha , at 82,52 

Weather in hex: Overcast

Raid spotted at 19 NM, estimated altitude 9,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 5 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-21-IIa Sally x 6

No Japanese losses

Airbase hits 1
Airbase supply hits 1
Runway hits 4

Aircraft Attacking:
       6 x Ki-21-IIa Sally bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb



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Morning Air attack on Sasebo 8th SNLF, at 98,125 (Nadzab)

Weather in hex: Light rain

Raid detected at 39 NM, estimated altitude 11,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 13 minutes

Allied aircraft
      Hudson III (LR) x 3
      Kittyhawk IA x 16
      Bolingbroke IV x 12

No Allied losses

Aircraft Attacking:
      12 x Bolingbroke IV bombing from 7000 feet
               Ground Attack:  4 x 250 lb GP Bomb
       3 x Hudson III (LR) bombing from 7000 feet
               Ground Attack:  4 x 250 lb GP Bomb

Also attacking 15th JNAF AF Unit  ...
Also attacking Kure 3rd SNLF ...
Also attacking Sasebo 8th SNLF ...


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Morning Air attack on Sasebo 8th SNLF, at 98,125 (Nadzab)

Weather in hex: Light rain

Raid spotted at 20 NM, estimated altitude 8,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 5 minutes

Allied aircraft
      Mitchell II x 6
      P-39D Airacobra x 23

No Allied losses

Japanese ground losses:
      7 casualties reported
         Squads: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled

Aircraft Attacking:
       6 x Mitchell II bombing from 7000 feet
               Ground Attack:  6 x 500 lb GP Bomb



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Morning Air attack on 22nd JNAF AF Unit , at 98,125 (Nadzab)

Weather in hex: Light rain

Raid detected at 34 NM, estimated altitude 9,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 11 minutes

Allied aircraft
      Hudson III (LR) x 9

No Allied losses

Aircraft Attacking:
       9 x Hudson III (LR) bombing from 7000 feet
               Ground Attack:  4 x 250 lb GP Bomb



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Morning Air attack on Akyab , at 54,45 

Weather in hex: Partial cloud

Raid spotted at 20 NM, estimated altitude 33,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 5 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-44-IIa Tojo x 27

No Japanese losses

Aircraft Attacking:
      27 x Ki-44-IIa Tojo sweeping at 30000 feet



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Afternoon Air attack on Akyab , at 54,45 

Weather in hex: Light cloud

Raid detected at 38 NM, estimated altitude 11,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 11 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-44-IIa Tojo x 30
      Ki-49-IIa Helen x 30

Japanese aircraft losses
      Ki-49-IIa Helen: 2 damaged

Airbase hits 2
Airbase supply hits 4
Runway hits 8

Aircraft Attacking:
      15 x Ki-49-IIa Helen bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
      15 x Ki-49-IIa Helen bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Afternoon Air attack on Daly Waters , at 76,131 

Weather in hex: Severe storms

Raid spotted at 46 NM, estimated altitude 9,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 14 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-49-IIa Helen x 20

No Japanese losses

Airbase hits 1
Runway hits 4

Aircraft Attacking:
      20 x Ki-49-IIa Helen bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb



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Afternoon Air attack on Akyab , at 54,45 

Weather in hex: Light cloud

Raid detected at 39 NM, estimated altitude 9,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 12 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-45 KAIa Nick x 6
      Ki-49-IIa Helen x 38

Japanese aircraft losses
      Ki-49-IIa Helen: 2 damaged

Airbase hits 1
Airbase supply hits 4
Runway hits 18

Aircraft Attacking:
      15 x Ki-49-IIa Helen bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb
      23 x Ki-49-IIa Helen bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb



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Afternoon Air attack on Akyab , at 54,45 

Weather in hex: Light cloud

Raid detected at 24 NM, estimated altitude 8,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 7 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-45 KAIa Nick x 3
      Ki-49-IIa Helen x 15

Japanese aircraft losses
      Ki-49-IIa Helen: 1 damaged

Airbase hits 1
Airbase supply hits 1
Runway hits 4

Aircraft Attacking:
      15 x Ki-49-IIa Helen bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb



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Afternoon Air attack on Akyab , at 54,45 

Weather in hex: Light cloud

Raid detected at 24 NM, estimated altitude 7,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 7 minutes

Japanese aircraft
      Ki-49-IIa Helen x 17

No Japanese losses

Airbase hits 2
Runway hits 7

Aircraft Attacking:
      17 x Ki-49-IIa Helen bombing from 6000 feet
               Airfield Attack:  4 x 250 kg GP Bomb



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Sub attack near Truk  at 114,110

Japanese Ships
      xAKL Malacca Maru
      xAKL Natsukawa Maru
      PB Takunan Maru #2

Allied Ships
      SS Sargo

SS Sargo launches 2 torpedoes at xAKL Malacca Maru
Sargo diving deep ....
PB Takunan Maru #2 fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Takunan Maru #2 fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Takunan Maru #2 fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Takunan Maru #2 fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Takunan Maru #2 fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub


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Sub attack near Saipan  at 110,94

Japanese Ships
      DD Natsugumo
      DD Kasumi

Allied Ships
      SS Triton

SS Triton launches 2 torpedoes at DD Natsugumo
DD Kasumi fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Kasumi fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Kasumi attacking submerged sub ....
DD Kasumi fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Kasumi fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub


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Ground combat at Nanyang (85,45)

Japanese Bombardment attack

Attacking force 61949 troops, 605 guns, 246 vehicles, Assault Value = 2182

Defending force 165543 troops, 647 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 4936

Allied ground losses:
      120 casualties reported
         Squads: 1 destroyed, 5 disabled
         Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 2 disabled

Assaulting units:
    70th Division
    110th Division
    35th Division
    36th Division
    32nd Division
    Botanko Hvy Gun Regiment
    6th Medium Field Artillery Regiment
    20th Ind. Mtn Gun Battalion
    2nd Ind.Hvy.Art. Battalion
    3rd Ind.Hvy.Art. Battalion
    10th Ind. Mountain Gun Regiment
    12th Army
    11th Field Artillery Regiment

Defending units:
    57th Chinese Corps
    91st Chinese Corps
    17th Chinese Corps
    3rd Chinese Corps
    23rd Chinese Corps
    90th Chinese Corps
    36th Chinese Corps
    82nd Chinese Corps
    41st Chinese Corps
    34th Chinese Corps
    61st Chinese Corps
    92nd Chinese Corps
    19th Chinese Corps
    1st Chinese Corps
    76th Chinese Corps
    16th Chinese Corps
    77th Chinese Corps
    47th Chinese Corps
    33rd Chinese Corps
    4th Chinese Cavalry Corps
    8th Group Army
    34th Group Army
    5th War Area 
    Red Chinese Army
    7th Group Army
    4th Group Army
    2nd War Area 
    22nd Group Army
    6th Group Army
    19th Chinese Base Force


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ground combat at Liuchow (74,55)

Allied Deliberate attack

Attacking force 221295 troops, 1525 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 4797

Defending force 29994 troops, 379 guns, 617 vehicles, Assault Value = 389

Allied adjusted assault: 839 

Japanese adjusted defense: 531 

Allied assault odds: 1 to 1 

Combat modifiers
Defender: leaders(+)
Attacker: disruption(-)

Japanese ground losses:
      1773 casualties reported
         Squads: 203 destroyed, 75 disabled
         Non Combat: 21 destroyed, 145 disabled
         Engineers: 12 destroyed, 16 disabled
      Guns lost 37 (21 destroyed, 16 disabled)
      Vehicles lost 21 (11 destroyed, 10 disabled)

Allied ground losses:
      2076 casualties reported
         Squads: 16 destroyed, 176 disabled
         Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 14 disabled
         Engineers: 0 destroyed, 6 disabled
      Guns lost 7 (1 destroyed, 6 disabled)

Assaulting units:
    27th Chinese Corps
    7th Chinese Corps
    2nd Prov Chinese Corps
    89th Chinese Corps
    98th Chinese Corps
    85th Chinese Corps
    60th Chinese Corps
    56th Chinese Corps
    80th Chinese Corps
    55th Chinese Corps
    15th Chinese Corps
    30th Chinese Corps
    81st Chinese Corps
    26th Chinese Corps
    2nd Chinese Cavalry Corps
    71st Chinese Corps
    65th Chinese Corps
    95th Chinese Corps
    10th Chinese Corps
    46th Chinese Corps
    14th Chinese Corps
    84th Chinese Corps
    62nd Chinese Corps
    79th Chinese Corps
    74th Chinese Corps
    25th Chinese Corps
    54th Chinese Corps
    9th Chinese Corps
    11th Chinese Corps
    13th Chinese Corps
    4th Chinese Corps
    3rd Prov Chinese Corps
    32nd Group Army
    1st Group Army
    29th Group Army
    49th AA Regiment
    13th Chinese Base Force
    7th Artillery Regiment
    18th Artillery Regiment
    3rd Group Army
    23rd Group Army
    7th Chinese Base Force
    7th Construction Regiment
    41st AA Regiment
    14th Group Army
    4th Heavy Mortar Regiment
    15th Group Army
    3rd Heavy Mortar Regiment
    31st Group Army
    39th Group Army
    57th AT Gun Regiment
    19th Group Army
    17th Group Army
    1st War Area 
    22nd Artillery Regiment
    2nd Group Army
    Lusu War Area 
    21st Group Army
    1st Artillery Regiment
    56th AT Gun Regiment

Defending units:
    116th Division
    12th Tank Regiment
    6th Division
    102nd Infantry Regiment
    1st Tank Division
    19th Ind.Mixed Brigade
    87th Infantry Regiment
    23rd Army
    1st Ind.Inf.Group 
    66th Infantry Regiment




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